hi community viewers here my analyse before tesla earnings release , has compagny will face big challenge with china challenger BYD, i bet for a bif dump of earnings on 22/04
Current Market Core Characteristics Extremely Strong Bullish Market Since April, gold has fluctuated 70-100 points per day, with a strong trend, frequent breakthroughs in resistance levels, and extremely bullish market sentiment. There is no technical peak signal, and any pullback is taken over by fast buying, so the risk of short-term counter-trend is extremely high. Key structural signals Hourly level: Single Yin correction: The decline is discontinuous, and it rebounds quickly after each pullback, showing that bulls are in control. Moving average support: The price continues to stand firm on the short-term moving average (such as 5MA, 10MA), and there is no effective break. European session high + US session shock: Strong consolidation above 3300, in line with the bull market characteristics of "breaking high-stepping back-re-attack". Driving factors Risk aversion + Fed policy expectations: Powell's speech may affect short-term fluctuations, but overall easing expectations support gold prices. Liquidity drive: Institutional and retail funds continue to flow in, and technical aspects and sentiment form positive feedback. Key positions and trading strategies 1. Support and resistance Upper target: 3350 (short-term) → 3400 (trend extension). Lower support: Short-term: 3300 (US market shock low + psychological barrier). Strong support: 3280 (daily retracement limit, beware of deep correction if it falls below). 2. Long order strategy (main idea) Aggressive: light long position at 3300-3302, stop loss at 3294, target 3330-3350. Conservative: wait for 3280-3285 area to stabilize long position, stop loss at 3275, target 3320-3350. Key logic: before the trend is broken, any pullback is a buying opportunity, but the stop loss must be strictly enforced. 3. Short-order strategy (auxiliary ideas) Only try short in the 3350-3353 area, stop loss 3358, target 3330-3320 (quick in and quick out). Note: Counter-trend trading requires a higher profit-loss ratio. If the gold price continues to stand at 3350, you need to leave the market. Risk warning and operation discipline Refuse to guess the top: Violent fluctuations are prone to occur near historical highs, but shorting against the trend requires clear reversal signals (such as long upper shadows on the daily line and continuous negative lines). Event risk: Powell's speech: If hawkish signals are released, it may trigger short-term selling, but more evidence is needed for trend reversal. Geopolitical conflict escalation: Sudden safe-haven buying may push gold prices to accelerate. Position management: Single transaction position ≤5%, total risk exposure ≤10%. Reduce positions before the holiday (Friday) to prevent gap risks caused by insufficient liquidity. Summary Main direction: Bullish, mainly long on pullbacks, pay attention to 3300, 3280 support. Auxiliary opportunities: try shorting with a light position near 3350, strictly stop loss. Core principles: follow the trend in the trend, be cautious against the trend, stop loss is the lifeline!
Currently, in the 4-hour level trend of crude oil, it is still under pressure around 63. The short-term moving averages are basically in a state of being glued together and flattened, indicating that it is likely to maintain a relatively oscillatory trend towards the end of the trading session. The operation suggestions are mainly to go long at low levels after a pullback, supplemented by going short at high levels during a rebound. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level at 63.0 - 63.50 on the upper side, and the support level at 60.2 - 60.5 on the lower side. Oil trading strategy： buy @ 61.10-61.40 sl 60.35 tp 62.20-61.40 If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. ???
The "Death Cross" is a technical chart pattern signaling potential bearish momentum in the US stock market, occurring when a short-term moving average (typically the 50-day) crosses below a long-term moving average (usually the 200-day). Despite its foreboding name, historical data shows its implications are often less dire than perceived, serving as a coincident indicator of market weakness rather than a definitive predictor of collapse. Historical Examples and Market Impact The death cross gained notoriety for preceding major market downturns: 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: The Nasdaq Composite’s death cross in June 2000 coincided with the burst of the tech bubble, leading to a prolonged bear market. 2008 Financial Crisis: The S&P 500’s death cross in December 2007 foreshadowed the 2008 crash, with the index losing over 50% of its value by early 2009. 2020 COVID-19 Crash: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2020 amid pandemic-driven panic, though markets rebounded sharply within months. 2022 Ukraine's War Crisis: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2022 due to proinflationary surge on Ukraine's war and Arab-Israel conflict, leading to a prolonged bear market within next twelve months, up to March quarter in the year 2023. These examples highlight the pattern’s association with extreme volatility, but its predictive power is inconsistent. For instance, the 2022 death cross in the S&P 500—its first in two years—occurred amid Fed rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, yet the market stabilized within weeks rather than entering a prolonged downturn. Perspectives on Reliability and Use Cases While the death cross reflects deteriorating short-term momentum, its utility depends on context: Lagging Nature: As a lagging indicator, it confirms existing trends rather than forecasting new ones. The 50-day average crossing below the 200-day often occurs after prices have already declined. False Signals: Post-2020 data shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 6.3% one year after a death cross, with Nasdaq Composite returns doubling typical averages six months post-cross. Combined Analysis: Traders pair it with metrics like trading volume or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to validate signals. Higher selling volume during a death cross strengthens its bearish case. Strategic Implications for Investors For market participants, the death cross serves as a cautionary tool rather than a standalone sell signal: Short-Term Traders: May use it to hedge long positions or initiate short bets, particularly if corroborated by weakening fundamentals. Long-Term Investors: Often treat it as a reminder to reassess portfolio diversification, especially during elevated valuations or macroeconomic uncertainty. Contrarian Opportunities: Historical rebounds post-death cross—such as the 7.2% Nasdaq gain three months after the signal—suggest potential buying opportunities for risk-tolerant investors. Fundamental Challenge Stocks Extend Drop as Powell Sees Economy ‘Moving Away’ From Fed Goals Powell sees economy ‘moving away’ from job, price goals due to Trump's tariff chainsaw. Fed well positioned to wait for policy clarity. Strong jobs market depends on price stability, he adds. Stocks extend declines, bonds rally as Fed chair speaks. Conclusion The "Death Cross" remains a contentious yet widely monitored pattern. Its dramatic name and association with past crises amplify its psychological impact, but empirical evidence underscores its role as one of many tools in technical analysis. Investors who contextualize it with broader market data—such as earnings trends, interest rates, and macroeconomic indicators—are better positioned to navigate its signals. While it may foreshadow turbulence, its historical track record emphasizes resilience, with markets often recovering losses within months of the pattern’s appearance. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team ? // Think Big. Risk Less https://www.tradingview.com/x/w0pcw2z0/
Interest Rate Differentials RBA's Monetary Policy Stance ? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been treading a path of maintaining relatively high - interest rates compared to some of its major counterparts, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve ?. For example, if the RBA sets a cash rate at 3.5% while the Fed has been gradually reducing its rates or keeping them at a lower level, say 2.5%, this creates an alluring yield differential for investors ?. Higher interest rates in Australia make Australian - dollar - denominated assets, such as government bonds, far more appealing. Foreign investors are then spurred to buy Australian assets, which in turn escalates the demand for the Australian dollar. As the demand for AUD surges in the foreign exchange market, the AUD/USD exchange rate typically experiences an upward climb ?. Inflation Outlook in Australia A healthy inflation environment in Australia also plays a pivotal role ?. If inflation in Australia is nestled within the RBA's target range (e.g., 2 - 3%) and shows signs of stability or a gentle upward trend, it provides the RBA with the leeway to maintain or even increase interest rates ?. In contrast, if inflation in the U.S. is lower than anticipated or shows inklings of deflationary pressures, the Fed may be more predisposed to keep rates low or implement expansionary monetary policies ?. This divergence in inflation - related monetary policy responses can be a catalyst for an increase in the AUD/USD exchange rate ?. ??? AUDUSD??? ? Buy@ 0.6330 - 0.6350 ? TP 0.6400 - 0.6450 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! ? ?The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! ? We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! ?
The trade friction between the United States and China has escalated again. The United States has substantially increased tariffs on Chinese goods, and China has promptly taken counter - measures. As a result, the trade relations between the two sides have become tense. At the same time, the United States has also implemented a universal tariff policy on its global trading partners. Key industries such as electronics and pharmaceuticals are facing targeted blows. The stability of the global supply chain has been impacted, and market risk - averse sentiment has risen sharply. Today, the upward trend of gold shows no sign of turning back. From a short - term perspective, there are still no signs of a peak. In the short - term operation, it is advisable to continue focusing on long positions. Currently, in the 4 - hour - level trend, after consecutive rallies, the price is temporarily fluctuating at a high level along the short - term moving averages. The short - term relatively strong technical pattern remains unchanged. XAUUSD trading strategy buy @ 3300-3310 sl 3280 tp 3320-3325 If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. ???
https://www.tradingview.com/x/FM967Ru5/ It looks like there is a head and shoulders pattern lining up with a falling wedge pattern that could indicate a jump in RDDT share price. I'm entering a long position @ 93.44. This is not investment advice and I'm just getting started with pattern analysis so please don't trust me :)
Hello guys I hope you're well so I say you guys I think xauusd will go up to 3340 then take resistance from there and this will remain our target until our bullish OB.
Buy @current price. Retrace also done! Let's take a bet. Trgt 1: 927 Trgt 2: 1000 SL 800 This is just for Education purpose
the U.S. Dollar Index is recently in an obvious downward channel ⬇️ (?Obtain signals???) Since the beginning of the year, the highs have been continuously decreasing, and the lows have also been continuously refreshed, indicating a rather prominent bearish trend ?. Currently, the price is moving within the channel, presenting an overall weak pattern ?. Given the current weak pattern of the U.S. Dollar Index and the bearish signals from the technical indicators ?, if the price rebounds to the range of 100.20 - 100.40, one can initiate a short position with a light position ?. Trading Strategy: Sell@100.200-100.400 TP:99.500-99.000 The signals resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily. (?Obtain signals? ? ?)