Pair: USD/JPY Timeframe: 15 minutes Indicators Used: EMA (30-period) – Red line EMA (200-period) – Blue line Chart Features: Downward channel (declining trendline) Identified entry point, stop loss, and target Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple ? Trade Idea Summary: ?Entry Point: 143.126 ?Stop Loss: 142.702 ?Target (Take Profit): 148.249 ?Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R) ? Technical Analysis: ✅ Bullish Breakout Signal Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure. The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move. ? Moving Average Analysis EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum. EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case. ? Support and Resistance Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone). Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250. ? Trade Plan Suggestion: Go Long at or near 143.126 Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702 Target 148.249 for profit Reasoning: This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds. ⚠️ Watch For: Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level Increased buying volume to confirm breakout Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
? April 13, 2025 So, we have another long system entry — but this one is a bit special. ✅ The long signal is confirmed on both the 1D and 3D timeframes, which adds confidence to the setup. ✅ MLR > SMA > BB Center – strong technical confluence ✅ Price > PSAR – trend shift confirmed on both timeframes However, risk context matters: ⚠️ On the 3D, price is still below the 50 MA ⚠️ On the 1D, price is still below the 200 MA That means momentum is building, but we’re not in full bullish structure yet. ? My advice: - Don’t use leverage on this entry - Spot only, partial size - Don’t go all-in — system says “yes,” but structure says “wait and scale” Discipline protects you. Emotions don’t.
Market uncertainty continues to be supported with tariffs-narrative induced by US Administration and other world governments. The tariffs-war intensified between the US and China, bringing them to the level of absurdity. The fear of stagflation is for one more time active on financial markets. The 10Y Treasury yields ended one more week at higher grounds. They started the week around 3,87% and ended it at 4,49%. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday, at the level of 4,58%. As analysts involved in a matter noted, the highest sellers of US Treasuries were China and Japan. The tariffs-war is currently disrupting the market. This sentiment does not have anything to do with current macro data and anticipation on future monetary policy. It has to do with a perception of investors regarding future effects of currently imposed tariffs, which are changeable on a daily basis. The sentiment is the one that is supporting extreme volatilities, as markets face it for the last few weeks now. In the future period, this will all settle down, and the market will find its equilibrium level. It is just a game of nerves at this moment.
Tariffs is currently the only word that occupies investors' sentiment. Tariff- induced rhetoric of the US Administration and other world governments is strongly impacting market uncertainty, bringing high volatility to traditional markets. During this period, the price of gold significantly gained in value, strongly supported by tariffs-paradox. During the previous week, the long term line connecting highs from April and October 2024 was clearly breached. The price of gold reached a fresh, all time highest level at $3.240, reached on Friday's trading session. The price of gold is currently moving in an uncharted territory. The RSI for one more time reached the clear overbought market side, ensign the week at the level of 71. There are no changes with MA 50 and MA200, as they continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Gold had always been perceived as a safe-haven for funds, and as a historical holder of the value. This is one of the main reasons why the price of gold strongly gained during the previous period. It is currently driven by fundamentals, and there is a high probability that fundamentals will continue to support the price of gold in the future period. As it is currently moving in an uncharted territory, there is a challenge to predict any level to the upside in the coming period. However, in case of a modest reversal, the price of gold might revert back, until the levels around the $3.170.
Last week, BINANCE:1INCHUSDT fully confirmed a downside breakout from a multi-year rectangle. If $0.20 isn't reclaimed soon, there is a good chance that the token will head to the $0.06 rectangle target. Worth watching it, as a failed retest of $0.20 could offer a very good short opportunity, while a sustained daily close above it would invalidate the setup and possibly lead to a retest of $0.45 or even $0.70.
Tariffs-narrative continues to shape the sentiment of investors on the US equity markets. The high volatility continues to be the predominant way of price movements, ranging from deep pessimism to higher optimism. The reality is that no one is sure what to trade and in which direction. Markets are extremely unhappy in times of high uncertainty, like the tariff-time currently is. Another week with extreme moves is behind the market. The S&P 500 reached the lowest weekly level at 4.840, but soon realized that this might be too low for current conditions of the US economy. Then the news hit the market that US tariffs will be delayed for the majority of countries for up to 90 days, and the market suddenly entered into an optimistic mood, reaching the highest weekly level at 5.480. This occurred at Wednesday's trading session, where S&P 500 gained around 10% within one day. For the S&P 500 this could be treated as highly extreme movement, but it shows how much nervousness is within investors at this moment. One of few reactions on the extreme volatility of US equity markets came from Susan Collins, head of the Boston Fed, who noted that “markets are continuing to function well” and that the Fed would be prepared to address chaotic conditions on the market, if needed. However, there is no indication that the Fed will react at this moment, and whether current developments will have any effect on their decision on rate cuts during the course of this year. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for May 6-7th. At this moment, the long term investors should not be worried, as this absurdity will come to pass one day, and US equities will continue to follow the growth of the US economy. Short term investors and traders will find this period of time as highly challenging. This sentiment will, unfortunately, continue for some time in the future, until the final tariffs-deal is set or dismissed.
? EURJPY 3H Analysis – Double Top + Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup Potential Reversal After Strong Bullish Run ? 1. Market Context & Structure Overview Over the past few weeks, EURJPY has been in a strong bullish trend, pushing higher through multiple swing highs. However, recent price action is showing early signs of exhaustion as momentum fades near a historically significant resistance zone at 164.13. This zone has now been tested twice, creating a Double Top formation, often signaling a potential trend reversal. Following the second top, the price formed a Rising Wedge pattern, a bearish structure that frequently indicates an impending breakdown, especially when it forms after an uptrend and near major resistance. The confluence of these two patterns — Double Top and Rising Wedge — strengthens the bearish case for a short trade. ? 2. Technical Pattern Breakdown ? Double Top Formation Top 1: Occurred at ~164.13, where price was sharply rejected after an extended rally. Top 2: A slightly lower high or equal high at the same level, confirming sellers are actively defending this resistance. Neckline: Drawn around the 160.50 level, where a confirmed break would trigger the full Double Top effect. A break below this neckline typically signals the beginning of a medium-term bearish move. ? Rising Wedge Pattern Price compressed between higher highs and higher lows, forming a narrowing ascending channel. The wedge is rising against resistance, indicating bulls are losing control. A break below the wedge support line is considered a bearish signal — especially strong when following a double top. These patterns create a bearish convergence, signaling a high-probability short opportunity. ? 3. Key Price Levels Level Price Role & Significance Resistance 164.13 Strong multi-touch resistance. Rejected twice. Support 160.50–160.00 Double Top neckline. First key bearish target. Stop Loss (SL) 164.13 Placed above pattern invalidation zone. Take Profit (TP) 158.41 Measured move target from wedge & past support. ? 4. Bearish Trade Setup Summary Entry: After confirmed candle close below the wedge support line (or break of support zone). SL: Above 164.13 resistance (to avoid premature stop-out from fakeouts). TP: 158.41, based on past demand zone and wedge projection. Risk-Reward Ratio: Targeting a 1:2.5 to 1:3 RRR — optimal for swing setups. ? 5. Trade Management & Strategy Tips Wait for Confirmation: Don’t jump the gun. Look for volume pickup or bearish engulfing candle at the break. Scale In or Out: Consider partial entries or scaling out at key mid-support (e.g., around 160.00). Trail Stops: Once price breaks below the wedge and approaches 160.50, adjust SL to breakeven to lock in risk-free profit. News Awareness: Be aware of any JPY or EUR-related macro events, as they can cause spikes and whipsaws. ? 6. Psychological Perspective This setup capitalizes on trader emotions: Bulls are trapped near the highs after failing to break resistance twice. Late buyers entering on the wedge may be forced to sell on breakdowns, accelerating the bearish move. Market may experience a liquidity grab above the resistance before collapsing — be patient with entries. ? 7. Multi-Timeframe Confluence On Higher Timeframes (Daily/Weekly): Resistance around 164.00 is historically significant — aligns with prior reversal zones. On Lower Timeframes (1H/30M): Bearish divergence or momentum weakening may confirm the setup. Check RSI/MACD for divergence signals as added confluence. ? 8. Target Projections Measured Move of Double Top: The vertical distance from resistance to neckline (~300 pips) projected downward from the neckline gives us a rough target near 158.40, which is confirmed on the chart. This zone previously acted as demand, where buyers stepped in. A good area to lock profit or expect bounce/consolidation. ✅ Conclusion: Trade Plan Summary EURJPY is displaying a clear bearish setup on the 3H timeframe, with a Double Top rejection at resistance and a Rising Wedge signaling price compression. A break below support confirms the setup and opens room for a move down to 158.41. This is a textbook swing setup combining price action, pattern recognition, and multi-timeframe analysis.
? Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York. ? Yesterday, both of the long triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved upward. Today is also an important day, and we can look for both long and short positions. ⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, our long triggers from yesterday — the 83899 and 84572 levels — were activated, and the price moved up to the 85552 zone. ✔️ If the position you opened had a small stop-loss, it likely already hit your target. But if you entered with a wider stop-loss, it probably hasn't reached the target yet, which is reasonable, as your position is longer-term. ⚡️ Now for today, as you can see, the price has broken its ascending trendline and it seems the trendline trigger is getting activated. If a candle closes below the 84382 level, the price is likely to move downward. ? The next support the price has is at 82813, and if this level breaks, we can say that the trend has changed and the price might head toward lower lows. ? The 50 level on the RSI is also significant, and if the break of 84382 coincides with a break below 50 on the RSI, strong bearish momentum could enter the market. https://www.tradingview.com/x/mKw96qiN/ ? BTC.D Analysis Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. This index is in a range box between 63.23 and 63.80. There’s also a mid-range level at 63.51 — breaking it would give us temporary confirmation of a bullish move in dominance. ? For bearish confirmation, breaking 63.23 would be suitable. https://www.tradingview.com/x/YIsG7uLN/ ? Total2 Analysis Now onto Total2: this index hasn't fully stabilized below its trendline yet and still shows slightly more bullish momentum compared to Bitcoin. ? For a short position, we have a 966 trigger, but it’s quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t open my main position with this trigger — I’d wait for confirmation using Dow Theory with a lower high and lower low. ? For a long position, the trigger is clear: we can enter if the 980 level breaks. https://www.tradingview.com/x/hZR1edVO/ ? USDT.D Analysis Let’s check Tether Dominance. This index has made a bearish move and dropped to 5.39. ⭐ The next drop trigger is the same 5.39 level, which is a very good one. For a bullish scenario, we currently need to wait for a new structure to form. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.