I have posted this chart before so this is an UPDATE As we can see, PA has come down and now bumped into the rising line of long term support and at the expected % of drop ( -24 ) Does this mean that PA will bounce ? NO but it does have a higher chance of doing so as the lower Timef rames are now oversold. The weekly MACD is still falling Bearish and has a few more weeks to go before reaching Neutral. https://www.tradingview.com/x/EUgOpYny/ The Lower Oversold time frames should give PA the energy to rise off this trend line and aim towards Range high However, as we saw in 2023, PA can drop below and so we need to remain cautious and watch PA closely. Tomorrow , March 12, we have the USA inflation data being released and this will most likely act as a catalyst to a move in either direction, depending on the data So, Hang on , Be optimistic while being cautious.. Bitcoin is at a turning point....We are just notto sure in which direction.
President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies, we at @PandorraResearch Team characterize as a term "Tariff Bazooka", have significantly destabilized the Nasdaq Bank Index NASDAQ:BANK , reflecting broader financial sector vulnerabilities and investor anxiety. These tariffs, including a 25% levy on imports from Canada and Mexico, a 20% duty on Chinese goods, and proposed reciprocal tariffs, — have triggered cascading multi effects on banking stocks through several paths. Market Volatility and Investor Tempopary Flight The Nasdaq Bank Index, which tracks major U.S. financial institutions, has been disproportionately impacted by tariff-driven uncertainty: Sharp Equity Declines. Since Trump announced reciprocal tariffs in February 2025, the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC dropped over 10% from its December 2024 peak, erasing $1 trillion in tech-sector value. Banking stocks, sensitive to macroeconomic shifts, mirrored this downturn as investors fled equities for safer assets. Risk-Off Sentiment: Bonds rallied as tariffs sparked fears of stagflation—a combination of stagnant growth and rising inflation—prompting a 30-basis-point drop in 10-year Treasury yields. This flight to safety squeezed bank profitability, as narrower yield curves reduce net interest margins. Economic Contagion Mechanisms Interest Rate Pressures. Tariffs have raised input costs for businesses, contributing to inflationary pressures. The Federal Reserve now faces a dilemma: tolerate higher inflation or hike rates to curb it. Either scenario harms banks. Elevated rates could suppress loan demand and increase default risks, while delayed rate cuts prolong financial tightening. Trade Retaliation and Sectoral Risks. Canada, Mexico, and China have retaliated with tariffs on $155 billion (Canada) and unspecified billions (China, Mexico) of U.S. goods. For banks, this raises exposure to sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and automotive - industries heavily reliant on cross-border trade. Loan defaults could surge if protected industries fail to offset higher costs. Global Financial System Strain. Trump’s tariffs risk fragmenting the rules-based trading system, undermining the stability that banks depend on for international transactions. The EU and other regions may retaliate by restricting U.S. financial services, directly impacting revenue streams for Wall Street firms. Sector-Specific Impacts Tech-Finance Nexus. Many Nasdaq-listed banks have significant exposure to tech firms, which face disrupted supply chains due to tariffs on Chinese components. This dual pressure — higher operational costs for clients and reduced tech-sector valuations — weakens banks’ asset quality. Consumer Credit Risks. Tariffs on everyday goods (e.g., 25% on Mexican produce, 10% on Canadian energy) could elevate household expenses, straining consumer creditworthiness and increasing delinquency rates for retail banks. Projected Outcomes Economists estimate Trump’s tariffs could reduce U.S. GDP growth by 1.5 percentage points in 2025, with a stagflationary shock amplifying equity sell-offs. For the Nasdaq Bank Index, this implies prolonged volatility, compressed earnings, and potential credit rating downgrades as macroeconomic headwinds intensify. Technical challenge The main technical graph of Nasdaq Bank Index NASDAQ:BANK indicates on further Bearish trend in development, since major supports (nearly 5-month flat bottom and 52-weeks SMA) have been recently broken. Conclusion In conclusion, Trump’s tariff strategy has acted as a destabilizing force for financial markets, with the Nasdaq Bank Index serving as a barometer for sector-wide risks. By exacerbating economic uncertainty, inflation, and trade fragmentation, these policies have eroded investor confidence and heightened systemic vulnerabilities in the banking sector. -- Best 'Sh#t Hit The Fan' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team ? https://www.tradingview.com/x/WigP9FM2/
A quick look on USDJPY prior CPI Wednesday. Probability: High Position: Short Narrative: Daily Bearish Imbalance
with markets moving up with no pullbacks, traders mostly close positions when fear gets into the market and have other options to invest in xyzusd etc. market needs a fresh move to push down for a new discount which i see is technically the arrow point. ill get into the market only when that area is tapped. but if theres more to come , its definitely the fundamentals which no one can challenge. have a blessed week with with lots of money flow.
This is a BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs USD) 4-hour timeframe, Chart Analysis: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: • Resistance Level: Marked near 92,792.60. • Support Level: Marked around 71,105.64. 2. Market Structure: • The price is moving within a descending channel (bearish trend). • A recent pullback has occurred towards the upper boundary of the channel. • The price is expected to continue its downward trend. 3. Bearish Prediction: • The chart suggests a potential rejection from the upper boundary of the channel. • A short-term consolidation may happen before continuing the downtrend. • The projected target for the bearish move is around 71,105.64 (major support level). Conclusion: If Bitcoin stays inside this descending channel and faces rejection, the bearish trend may continue toward the $71,000 support level. However, if BTC breaks above the channel, it could indicate a trend reversal.
This 15-minute USD/JPY highlights a key price movement scenario. The price is currently around 147.756 and has been following an ascending trendline. The chart suggests a potential retracement towards the 147.300 level, marked as a target. The analysis is based on trendline support, previous price reactions (highlighted in blue), and a potential bearish move before resuming upward momentum. Traders should monitor this level for possible support confirmation or further breakdown. Technical Analysis: 1. Uptrend Support: The price has been following an ascending trendline, with multiple touches (highlighted in blue), confirming it as a strong support level. 2. Resistance Zone: The price recently faced resistance near 147.756, where sellers appear to be active. 3. Projected Movement: The analysis suggests a short-term retracement towards the 147.300 level, where price may test the trendline again before deciding its next direction. If the trendline holds, we might see a continuation of the uptrend. A break below could indicate a deeper bearish correction. Trading Considerations: Bullish Bias: Watch for a bounce from 147.300 for potential long opportunities. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the trendline, further downside movement could be expected. Confirmation Needed: Look for price action signals or volume changes before entering a trade.
Clear break of trend line target highs and above. Precious chart showed short and hit the second target
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) 1-hour timeframe, Chart Analysis: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: • The lower black horizontal line represents the support level. • The upper black horizontal line marks the resistance level. 2. Market Structure: • The price was previously moving sideways (range-bound). • A bullish move took place, pushing the price up to resistance. • A potential bearish move is projected on the chart. 3. Bearish Prediction: • The red zone represents a resistance area where price rejection is expected. • The price is likely to form a lower high, consolidate briefly, and then drop. • The target for this drop is around the support level (2,881). Conclusion: If the price gets rejected from resistance, a bearish move is expected. However, if the price breaks above resistance, a bullish continuation could occur.
BTC will be starts to be set for long range position would likely to pump as for compare past week btc was very low bearish strong position and will wait for bullish trend
Hey everyone, let's look at the 1D ETH to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price has reverted back to the long-standing uptrend, and here we can see a significant decline below the uptrend line. In the event that the trend reverses and growth begins again, it is worth setting targets for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 2246 USD T2 = 2533 USD Т3 = 2785 USD Т4 = 3010 USD Т5 = 3365 USD However, here we can see how the current decline has been maintained by the support zone from $ 1904 to $ 1686, however, if the zone is broken further, we can see a decline to the level of $ 1338, and then again we can have the price go down to the area of $ 921 The RSI indicator shows a continuing downward trend, and here we can see a decline to the lower part of the range, but there is still room for the price to go lower to the lower limit.