Trade outlook 3-13-25 EURCHF - EURGBP. Video for my accountabilty parnters what i am gonna trade for today.
Now it's time for US and EU to have their public tariff battle. Given that wine, champagne and beer are a huge part of EU export into the US, there might be some pain felt among the MARKETSCOM:DE30 bulls. Let's dig in. XETR:DAX Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
GBPNZD short entry easy money sp line touch back sp line touch back GBPNZD short entry easy money sp line touch back
If price breaks intraday high (red line) the long is possible, otherwise waiting to long from the blue line as intraday option. Anything can happen though.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/l6UvVsBJ/ My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GBPNZD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 2.2700 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 2.2629 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Looking at the monthly charts, it seems like we've hit a key level where the price has bounced back up nicely. This indicates a shift in the overall trend, making it look like there's potential for some upward movement. Since the DXY (which tracks the strength of the dollar) is weakening, we might be able to ride this wave up and take advantage of the positive momentum in the market. It’s all about following the trend and going with the flow! Risk to reward is very lovely Follow me for your support Thank You
? Why Sell? ✅ Momentum Fading – Buying pressure weakening ✅ Supply Zone – Strong resistance at 1.1330 ✅ Stochastic Overbought – Price may reverse ✅ Range Market – Stuck between 1.1100 - 1.1330 ? Fundamentals ?? UK: Neutral ? ?? CHF: Bullish ? ⚠️ Risk Management: Stay alert for news! ? ? What’s your take on GBP/CHF? Comment below! ?? #Forex #Trading #GBPCHF #ForexSignals
I have analyzed the last two bull markets to assess how the Gaussian channel could predict the initiation of a bear market. Additionally, I examined the typical duration of the bullish phase—from exiting the bear market to breaking into the Gaussian channel—as an indicator of the bull market’s completion. Historically, right-translated cycles have exhibited approximately 840 days of bullish price action. If this pattern holds, the current bull market should conclude by November this year, unless we have already reached the peak. A key factor for the bull market to continue is staying above the Gaussian channel. Dropping into the channel would signal the start of a bear market. Currently, this critical level is at $73K. Wishing us all luck, as the altcoin market has already suffered significant losses.
1. Long-term Channel: The SPX has been following a clearly defined logarithmic trend channel, with highs and lows confined within this channel for nearly a century. 2. Current Price Action (2025): o The index recently broke through the upper bound of the historical channel in 2024. o It's retraced back through the channel in March 2025. 3. Historical Reference Points: o Significant points noted are the 1929 market crash, the 1932 market low, and subsequent recoveries and corrections. o The marked reference points (1929, 1932, 1942, 2000, 2009, 2020, 2022, and 2024) show pivotal moments where the price interacted meaningfully with this long-term channel. Key Observations and Considerations: • Logarithmic Scale: o This emphasizes percentage changes rather than absolute values, clearly showing the growth pattern and highlighting significant deviations from average trend growth. • Long-term Perspective: o For investors, this signals caution in the near-term, suggesting potential further downside. o From a longer-term perspective, significant pullbacks within this historical channel have historically provided strong opportunities for long-term investment.
The Hershey Company is an American multinational confectionery company, founded by Milton S. Hershey in 1894. The company initially focused on caramel and chocolate, eventually expanding into a wide range of confectionery products. The company’s headquarters are located in Hershey, Pennsylvania, which is also home to Hersheypark and Hershey’s Chocolate World. , Business Model, Products, and Services The Hershey Company is a leading confectionery manufacturer and marketer. Their core business revolves around producing and selling chocolate, sweets, mints, and other snacks. Their key product lines include Hershey’s chocolate bars, Reese’s peanut butter cups, Kit Kat, Jolly Rancher, and Ice Breakers. The company’s business model is centered on brand recognition, product quality, and extensive distribution networks. Durable Competitive Advantage Hershey possesses a strong durable competitive advantage primarily due to its iconic brand portfolio. Brands like Hershey’s and Reese’s have decades of consumer loyalty and strong brand recognition. This aligns with the “unique product” business model, as these brands hold a distinctive place in the confectionery market. Economic Moat Hershey’s “economic moat” is built upon its powerful brand identity. The company’s brands have a long-standing history and strong emotional connection with consumers, creating a barrier to entry for competitors. Their distribution network also provides an economic moat. Industry Outlook, Challenges, and Competitors The confectionery industry is generally stable, but it faces challenges related to changing consumer preferences (e.g., healthier snacks), rising ingredient costs, and intense competition. The company’s key competitors include Mondelez International (MDLZ), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Kellogg (K), and Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Additionally, increased competition from smaller, more innovative brands is also contributing to Hershey’s market share decline. Health trends are a large challenge, sweet snacks have been under pressure as more consumers become aware of their calorie and sugar intake. Supply chain risks are also a consistent threat for The Hershey Company, as disruptions in the procurement of key raw materials like cocoa, sugar, and dairy could impact production costs and margins. Additionally, geopolitical instability, trade restrictions, and transportation bottlenecks may further challenge the company’s ability to maintain steady inventory levels and meet consumer demand. Comparative Analysis The following is a comparative analysis of the company’s financial position and performance. The analysis evaluates eight key financial ratios to determine whether the company possesses a durable competitive advantage. The company’s financial ratios are compared with the median ratios of its main competitors. https://www.tradingview.com/x/6NY1tXqH/ Gross Margin % Hershey maintains a consistent gross profit margin of 42%, which is significantly higher than the competitor average of 33.62%. A high gross profit margin stems from the company’s durable competitive advantage, allowing it to price its products significantly higher than its competitors while maintaining strong profitability. R&D to Revenue Ratio % Hershey’s R&D expenditure is relatively low at 0.5% compared to its competitors’ 0.9%. This suggests that its competitive advantage relies more on brand strength and distribution than on product innovation. Depreciation to Gross Profit Ratio % Hershey’s depreciation-to-gross-profit ratio is a reasonable 9.48%, slightly lower than its competitors’ 9.65%, suggesting efficient asset utilization. Interest Expense to Operating Income Ratio % Hershey’s Interest Expense to Operating Income Ratio is 7.4%, significantly lower than its competitors’ 16.3%, indicating a strong financial position. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HsxLGfF0/ Operating Margin % Hershey’s operating margin is strong, consistently above 20%. This suggests efficient operations and pricing power. Free Cash Flow Margin % Hershey’s free cash flow margin fluctuates, but it consistently remains higher than that of its competitors. This is a strong indicator that Hershey has a durable competitive advantage. Basic Earnings Per Share (EPS) Hershey’s EPS shows a generally upward trend, indicating consistent profitability. Return on Equity (ROE) Hershey’s ROE is strong and significantly higher than that of its competitors, indicating efficient utilization of shareholder equity. Based on the analysis of key financial ratios, we have determined the following: The Hershey Company’s financial condition is stronger than that of its competitors. We believe the company holds a competitive advantage within its industry. Intrinsic Value Valuation https://www.tradingview.com/x/ygPLuUTY/ Intrinsic Value: $236.80 Current Price: $171.16 Margin of Safety: 27.72% Based on the provided data, Hershey’s stock appears to be undervalued, with a significant margin of safety. The company’s strong brand portfolio, consistent profitability, and efficient operations are positive indicators. The 27.72% margin of safety provides a good buffer against potential market fluctuations or valuation errors. Recommendation: Given the current undervaluation and the company’s strong fundamentals, a “buy” recommendation is warranted. However, investors should carefully monitor industry trends, competitive pressures, and potential risks related to changing consumer preferences and ingredient costs.